One Hundred and Twenty Percent

Strasburg left tonight’s game in Miami having pitched a total of 150 innings on the year. That is 2 innings more than 120% of his single-season maximum innings pitched, as I outlined here. Again, Jordan Zimmermann was shut down after an increase of 120% of his workload–161.1 innings.

If Strasburg getting the Jordan Zimmermann treatment, he should be shut down now.

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5 thoughts on “One Hundred and Twenty Percent

  1. Does he go on the DL, or how does it work? If the Nats do make the play-offs, it may be the first time in the history U.S. professional sports where an uninjured player opts not to participate in the post-season, due to future considerations, which is sort of what happens in horse racing.

    • From what I understand, he is simply not included on the playoff roster, but will probably accompany the team in the same way that injured (but inactive) players are sometimes allowed to do. This is really an old story now. I don’t know why I keep writing about it.

  2. Just to elucidate a bit futher. The problem here may be that the Nats’ as an organization want a healthy organization that has great players who win for years and years. They probably do not care all that much about winning a title, which, unless you are the Yankees, requires a lot of good fortune. So the Nats don’t mind that much whether they win it all or not, as long as they get a result that makes the team more popular going forward.

    The fans and the players on this year’s squad may feel differently. I do think the other guys in the dugout have a right to know where they stand and need to be told something definitive asap.

    Outside of horse racing, someone please provide an example of a non-injured player who has ever skipped an entire post-season? Sandy Koufax skipped one start for the Jewish holidays, but I can’t think of anyone who refused to play in the post-season in order to lengthen his career. Barry Bonds never won a World Series, nor did Ted Williams. Walter Johnson, Hank Aaron and Willie Mays won one each. There are no guarantees going forward.

  3. If it works, but from what I can see we simply have no idea. Even surgeons in the field seem to have differing opinions. I am progressively less and less on board, simply because the Nats have essentially provided zero evidence to support their position. Maybe it says in the doctor’s report that Strasburg’s arm could go at any time, but if that is the case, it doesn’t necessarily mean it won’t go next April.

    If the Nats lose a series, 3-2 or 4-3, Strasburg will never escape this story line, whether it is fair or not, because short series tend to be coin flips where the better record provides little or no advantage… For every example of an early pitching guy who broke down–and Stras is not all that young–we can also point to guys who pitched their arms off from the age of 19 to 40 with no problems whatsoever.

    http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/j/johnswa01.shtml

    You are still talking about it because this has never, ever happened before. There has never been a professional athlete at the top of his profession who has been withheld from the post-season based upon the possibility of future injury.

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